Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Is Huck Really Hurting Romney?

Not according to the latest USA/Gallup poll:

McCain wins over Romney as the second choice of Huckabee voters by more than a 2 to 1 margin, 64% to 28%. Indeed, McCain beats Romney 42% to 24% with Huckabee in the race (Huckabee gets 18% of the vote, Ron Paul gets 5%, and Alan Keyes gets 2%). With a narrowed-down ballot focused just on McCain and Romney (forcing Huckabee voters to choose between the two front-runners), McCain wins 53% to 30% -- a slightly expanded margin.
I am surprised. Must be a residual anti-Mormon vote out there, particularly in the South. Or maybe people just don't like Mitt Romney.

Romney beat Huck in Grand Rapids and surrounding counties in western Michigan, where I lived for a few years. That area is heavily dominated by conservative Christians, but of a somewhat different stripe than those in the South. West Michigan is CRC territory -- the Christian Reformed Church -- which has roots in Dutch Calvinism.

As a Catholic, I don't pretend to understand all the differences between Michigan CRC'ers and Southern evangelicals, but perhaps their relative attitudes toward Mormons is one such difference.

Via the Weekly Standard's campaign blog.

No comments: